AAVE Forecast: A Potential 10% Drop on the Horizon?

AAVE — Overview

The following information provides a high-level summary of our technical analysis and our AAVE forecast.

Analyzed Period

4H Chart



Profit Potential



Aave (AAVE), one of the prominent players in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, is currently experiencing a market downturn, with its token value currently standing at $62.

In recent developments, AAVE broke through its established support level of $62.85. This breakthrough not only marked a significant turning point but also potentially foreshadowed further downward movement.

Following this trend, the next anticipated support level lies at $61, which hasn’t proven particularly resilient in past trends. If this support level fails to hold against selling pressures, it could instigate a sharp 10% dump in AAVE’s price, potentially leading to the token trading as low as $56.5. And actually, this is the most likely scenario in terms of an AAVE forecast — from our perspective.

AAVE Forecast — Technical Indicators


Moving Averages

Strong Down






Technical indicators are essential tools in predicting potential market trends, and currently, they’re strengthening our bearish outlook for AAVE. Both the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – indicators that highlight trends by smoothing out price fluctuations – are presently showing a strong downtrend across all time horizons, highlighting a bearish outlook for AAVE.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator used to measure the speed and change of price movements, currently stands neutral, suggesting a precarious balance between buying and selling pressures.

Similarly, the Average Directional Index (ADX), an indicator used to quantify trend strength, also stands neutral, indicating a lack of forceful trend movement. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, often employed to track potential buy and sell entry points, displays a bearish sentiment, adding to the gloomy forecast.

The Momentum (MOM) indicator further reinforces this bearish sentiment, suggesting that AAVE’s current price trend is losing strength and may continue to decline.

The Ultimate Oscillator, which combines short, medium, and long-term market momentum into a single reading, also leans towards bearish conditions.

AAVE Price Chart - 4H, 5th June 2023
AAVE Price Chart – 4H, 5th June 2023

AAVE Forecast & Potential Trades

Given the overall weak market condition and the bearish indicators, we foresee Aave continuing to dip. However, we would advise against entering a trade as long as the $61 support holds. A break beneath this level could present an attractive trade setup to ride the downward slide to $56.


Aave (AAVE) is trading at $62, having recently breached the $62.85 support level. Given this break and the current bearish market, we anticipate a potential 10% drop towards $56.5, especially if the $61 support level fails to hold. The prevalent bearish indicators further reinforce this expectation. However, as long as the $61 support holds, we would advise against entering a trade.

About Aave (AAVE)

Aave is an open-source, non-custodial protocol enabling decentralized lending and borrowing. Aave operates on the Ethereum blockchain, offering services for multiple different cryptocurrencies. Aave’s native token, AAVE, allows holders to participate in the platform’s governance and earn staking rewards.

Share with your community!

In this article

Like what you see? Share with a friend.

Related Articles