Bitcoin (BTC) Backtest Report (15+ Trading Strategies & Signals)

Today’s report focuses on a super extensive Bitcoin Backtest report. We took a look at more than 15 trading signals and strategies. For each of them, we performed an extensive backtest with data from the last three years — and the results were surprising.

However, we didn’t stop and performed the backtest on three different timeframes: the daily chart, the hourly chart, and the 15-minute chart timeframe. So get ready to dive into extensive data, thoroughly assessed results, and valuable insights.

A Quick Summary

If you don’t have time to read through the complete Bitcoin Backtest Report, we put together a quick summary.

Hyper Scalper Most Successful Strategy
The Hyper Scalper trading strategy shows an exceptional success rate for all analyzed timeframes. Although the number of trades on the daily chart is low, it might be worse considering this strategy.

Timeframe Not As Essential As Expected
When we started working on the Bitcoin Backtest Report we expected huge differences between the timeframe. More precisely, we expected better results in the long-term timeframe and worse results in the lower timeframe. However, the difference between the timeframes is definitely not as significant as expected.

Want some more backtest analyses? Check this out:
Ethereum Backtest — The Most Extensive Analysis!
XRP Backtest Report (15+ Ripple Trading Strategies & Signals)
Litecoin (LTC) Backtest Report (15+ Trading Strategies)

Bitcoin Backtest Report — Tradings Strategies & Signals — Daily Chart

Here are the key takeaways from the daily chart:

  • Overall, five trading signals/strategies show a success rate of more than 75%.
  • We can find three strategies with a success rate of 100% — however, the results are based on a low number of signals and, therefore, have to be handled cautiously.
  • The majority of the signals show a performance between 55% and 65%.
SignalDetected SignalsSuccess Rate (%)
EMA Bullish Crossover + ADX3100.0
Hyper Scalper Buy1100.0
Hyper Scalper Sell1100.0
Power Scalper Buy1980.53
EMA Bullish Crossover1675.0
RSI Overbought4168.29
MACD Bullish Crossover + ADX2766.67
Parabolic Trader Sell1266.67
Big Extender Buy2466.67
RSI Overbought + ADX3565.71
Bollinger Stochastic Buy4365.12
Bollinger Bands Buy + ADX3363.64
EMA Strategy Buy2263.64
Parabolic Trader Buy2360.87
Bollinger Bands Buy5160.78
MACD Bullish Crossover4860.42
RSI Oversold + ADX1060.0
Power Scalper Sell5356.6
EMA Bearish Crossover1656.25
Bollinger Bands Sell + ADX4755.32
EMA Strategy Sell2254.55
MACD Bearish Crossover4852.08
MACD Bearish Crossover + ADX2450.0
RSI Oversold1450.0
EMA Bearish Crossover + ADX450.0
Bollinger Bands Sell8850.0
Bollinger Stochastic Sell9346.24
Big Extender Sell742.86
Tri Trendmaster Buy024.53
Tri Trendmster Sell024.53

Bitcoin Backtest Report — Tradings Strategies & Signals — Hourly Chart

Here are the most important results of the Bitcoin Backtest Report for the hourly chart:

  • Tri Trendmast and Hyper Scalper are the top-performing trading strategies. However, the Tri Trendmaster results are based on a minimal number of trade signals. Therefore, the results should be handled with caution.
  • More than half of the trading signals and strategies show a less than 60% success rate.
SignalDetected SignalsSuccess Rate (%)
Tri Trendmaster Buy1100.0
Tri Trendmster Sell2100.0
Hyper Scalper Buy1989.47
Hyper Scalper Sell2576.0
Bollinger Bands Buy + ADX27465.33
Bollinger Stochastic Buy36364.19
MACD Bullish Crossover + ADX21263.68
Bollinger Bands Buy59463.3
Power Scalper Buy90361.68
Big Extender Buy9060.0
RSI Overbought + ADX13558.52
RSI Overbought20257.92
Bollinger Bands Sell + ADX31257.05
Bollinger Bands Sell65756.93
Parabolic Trader Buy19256.77
Bollinger Stochastic Sell54555.6
MACD Bullish Crossover50955.01
EMA Strategy Buy26954.28
Power Scalper Sell60253.65
EMA Bearish Crossover17752.54
RSI Oversold + ADX12851.56
Parabolic Trader Sell16351.53
RSI Oversold18351.37
EMA Bullish Crossover + ADX3951.28
EMA Bullish Crossover17651.14
MACD Bearish Crossover + ADX21750.69
MACD Bearish Crossover51050.59
Big Extender Sell10350.49
EMA Bearish Crossover + ADX3650.0
EMA Strategy Sell26449.24

Bitcoin Backtest Report — Tradings Strategies & Signals — 15-Minute Chart

Here are the most essential results of our Bitcoin Backtest Report on the 15M Chart:

  • It is incredible that even on the 15M chart (almost), four trading strategies achieved more than 80% success rates. Again, the Tri Trendmaster and Hyper Scalper lead the fields.
  • More importantly, the Hyper Scalper success rates are based on almost 100 trading signals for buying and selling each. Therefore, it makes this strategy a valid approach in this low timeframe.
  • Conversely, most (more than two-thirds) of the trade signals showed results below 60% or even below 50%.
SignalDetected SignalsSucccess Rate (%)
Tri Trendmster Sell785.71
Hyper Scalper Buy6384.13
Tri Trendmaster Buy683.33
Hyper Scalper Sell8479.76
EMA Bullish Crossover + ADX10966.97
Bollinger Bands Buy + ADX106862.83
Bollinger Stochastic Buy148361.56
Bollinger Bands Buy238360.81
Bollinger Bands Sell233759.44
Bollinger Bands Sell + ADX101559.21
Bollinger Stochastic Sell198357.64
MACD Bullish Crossover + ADX85855.36
EMA Bearish Crossover + ADX10854.63
Big Extender Buy26954.28
MACD Bearish Crossover + ADX79054.05
Power Scalper Buy228953.78
EMA Bullish Crossover69453.75
RSI Overbought + ADX44053.41
Parabolic Trader Buy72553.38
EMA Strategy Buy117253.33
MACD Bullish Crossover204952.71
RSI Overbought64052.03
MACD Bearish Crossover204950.51
Power Scalper Sell169950.21
EMA Bearish Crossover69349.64
EMA Strategy Sell117549.36
Parabolic Trader Sell74647.99
Big Extender Sell28947.75
RSI Oversold57146.94
RSI Oversold + ADX41446.86

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