Daily Analysis: ATOM Braces for 10% Decline: The Key Levels to Watch

Cosmos (ATOM) is trading at $10.3, reflecting a mild 1% loss over the past 24 hours. However, it’s evident that ATOM has seen a considerable price drop since February, shedding more than 30% of its value.

Currently, Cosmos (ATOM) is trying to stay afloat above the critical long-term support at $10.3, a level that previously acted as a stiff resistance at the end of 2022 before transitioning into solid support in March.

Indicators for Cosmos (ATOM)

Taking a closer look at the underlying technical indicators, a consistent bearish narrative seems to be in play. The Ultimate Oscillator, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Momentum (MOM) all exhibit bearish signs. In addition, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) across all time frames echo this bearish sentiment, indicating a downward or strong downward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), however, remains neutral.

Expounding on these bearish indicators, we observe that the Ultimate Oscillator’s downturn reflects a gradual decrease in the buying pressure. Finally, the MACD, a trend-following momentum indicator, also depicts bearish signals, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, reinforcing the dominant bearish trend.

The downward-sloping Momentum (MOM) indicator also validates this bearish momentum, as the MOM usually correlates with the rate of price change. With the bearish sentiment displayed by the SMA and EMA, we see a precise alignment of these indicators, indicating a potentially extended downtrend for Cosmos (ATOM).

However, the neutral RSI, a commonly used momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements, is worth noting. An RSI around the 50 mark usually indicates a lack of trend, suggesting that although the other indicators are largely bearish, there might be some indecision in the market.

COSMOS ATOM Price Chart 1D 1st June 2023
The Key Levels to Watch

Outlook for Cosmos (ATOM)

The fate of Cosmos (ATOM) in the short term is intrinsically linked to the general market sentiment. In the absence of an overall market reversal, the indicators seem to point towards a potentially steep decline for Cosmos (ATOM) once the $10.3 support line is broken. This support level has proven to be of pivotal importance, having formerly acted as a significant resistance at the end of 2022 before morphing into a key support in March this year.

If ATOM’s price dips under this critical support level, it could spell a more than 10% drop for the coin, pushing its price closer to the $9 mark. This likelihood underscores the need for traders considering short positions on ATOM to pay particular attention to this $10.3 threshold. It is a mere trading parameter and a significant determinant of the coin’s short-term trajectory.

In the face of this potential downturn, traders must remain vigilant, continually observing market trends and adjusting their strategies accordingly. Even the best technical analysis can’t fully anticipate sudden shifts in market sentiment or unforeseen news events. Therefore, while indicators suggest a bearish outlook, any signs of a bullish recovery should prompt an immediate reassessment of any active or planned short positions.

Risk management becomes even more essential due to the potential for a double-digit percentage drop. Traders should consider setting stop-loss orders and prepare for different scenarios. Moreover, in case of a market turnaround, this bearish scenario could be invalidated, and a revisit to higher resistance levels could be possible.

About Cosmos (ATOM)

Cosmos (ATOM) is an ambitious blockchain project designed to address some of the most pressing issues in the blockchain industry, including interoperability, scalability, and usability. Cosmos aims to create an “Internet of Blockchains,” where each blockchain can interact and transact seamlessly.

The ATOM token, the native cryptocurrency of the Cosmos network, plays a crucial role in securing the network, participating in consensus mechanisms, and enabling interoperability. As a promising project in the blockchain space, ATOM has garnered significant attention from investors and developers alike. However, like all cryptocurrencies, ATOM is subject to market volatility and should be traded with careful analysis and risk management.


In summary, Cosmos (ATOM) is currently at a critical juncture. While the bearish indicators suggest further decline, it’s crucial to consider the significant support at $10.3. As ATOM hovers around this pivotal level, the next few days could be instrumental in determining its trajectory.

The market’s direction, sentiment, and potential catalysts should all be part of a comprehensive trading strategy.

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