Ethereum (ETH) Downward Break: A 5% Decline on the Cards?

Ethereum (ETH) — Analysis Overview

The following information provides a high-level summary of the Ethereum (ETH) analysis.

Analyzed Period

4H Chart



Profit Potential


Ethereum (ETH) — Current Status

In a twist contrary to our previous forecast, Ethereum (ETH) did not ascend toward the upper limit of its upward channel. Instead, ETH broke out of the triangle to the downside.

Trading at $1,870 at the moment, a further decline, potentially up to 5% towards $1,780, seems probable given the breakout direction and the overall bearish sentiment in the market.

Technical Indicators

The technical indicators, particularly on the 4-hour chart, reinforce our revised short-term forecast of a further decline. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) both exhibit a short-term downward trend. Conversely, both these indicators strongly suggest an upward movement in the medium to long term.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands neutral, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressures. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the strength of a trend, signals weakness, thus hinting at the absence of a strong directional bias in the market.

Aligning with our bearish outlook are the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the Momentum (MOM), and the Ultimate Oscillator indicators, all of which present a bearish sentiment.

Ethereum ETH - 4H Price Chart, 5th June 2023
Ethereum ETH – 4H Price Chart, 5th June 2023

Trade Setup & Outlook

Despite the bearish indicators in the short term, the medium-term potential, as suggested by the SMA and EMA, remains a strong upward movement. However, given the overall market sentiment and the triangle’s downside break, traders could consider short positions targeting a 5% profit at $1,780. It is crucial, however, to remember that a reversal and continuation of the upward trend could occur at any time. Therefore, careful placement of stop-loss orders is strongly recommended.


Ethereum (ETH), currently trading at $1,870, unexpectedly broke out of its triangle to the downside, contrary to our prior analysis. This downside break and the overall bearish market suggest a possible 5% decline toward $1,780.

However, with indicators hinting at a medium to long-term upward trend, traders should maintain vigilant stop-loss strategies to protect against sudden reversals.

About Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum is a decentralized, open-source blockchain with smart contract functionality. Ether (ETH) is the native cryptocurrency of the platform. Among cryptocurrencies, Ether is second only to Bitcoin in market capitalization. Ethereum was conceived in 2013 by programmer Vitalik Buterin and went live on 30 July 2015.

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